Monday, August 15, 2005
Red States and Hillary In '08
Currently, the Republicans have no one to put up. I've read a lot of blogs that say Jeb Bush might do it. My thought? - In the immortal words of Gene Autry, 'Nope!' Jeb is a fine person, but charisma wise, he ain't no 'W'. As much as I'd like to see Condi run, she really wants to be the next Commissioner of the NFL. McCain? God Help Us? Ahnold? Only if we change the Constitution. Guliani? Maybe. He certainly has the character, charisma, and support of Reagan Democrats and most conservatives. His personal issues pale in comparison to ex-President Busy Pants who set the bar of fellonious indecency so high it would take Evel Knievel's Rocket Plane to clear. So the real question remains, how is Hillary going to win in the states that Kerry lost? No answers from me, or them! Let's Hope!
I agree with your assessment. Hillary is trying to make herself into a pro-life "praying woman." I don't expect anyone to be fooled. I know they think we're rubes here in the Red States, but, in fact, you and I know we're a lot smarter than that!
With the break in the Labor Movement, no Democrat might be able to win even as much as Kerry won. Bear in mind that in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, Kerry only won by 2-4 points, and so did Gore in 2000. These are heavy union states where labor groups make up a big percentage of Democrat money and get out the vote drives. The lack of them could easily cause a 2 point Democrat slip, giving a Republican the win in the above states. If '08 is the same as '04, with only the above states shifting, the Republican wins with 348 EV.
Still, 2008 is light years away, and I am happy for that. I'm still savoring the '04 win. Soon it will be time to gear up for the '06 midterms though. Still, I guess I'm looking at Allen right now.
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